Saturday, July 17, 2021

Weekly Hand Analysis - Vic Johnson - Monday, July 19, 2021-Rolling the dice

 

Vic:

Question: Is 4H a good defensive bid?

Answer: Yes, BUT.

Comment: East has 5 losers & could expect to lose all five, should partner prove to have nothing. A bid of 4H (Doubled - Not Vul - Down Two) would result in a NS score of plus 300 which is more than NS would earn for making a part score in either spades or clubs.

Comment: East could actually be considered to have an opening strength hand (Rule of Twenty). Give West the heart King plus one of the missing Aces & game in hearts looks cold. Give West the heart King plus two of the missing Aces OR all three missing Aces & slam is possible.

Comment: It looks as if game is possible for NS in  either spades or clubs. The question is will NS be able to find game or not.

Possible Auction: East opens 4H. It is hard to imagine that South will not Double. Whether the DBL gets taken out (probably to either 5C or 4S) or left in for penalty depends on the NS partnership agreement.

Possible Auction: East opens 1H.  Again, I would expect South to DBL (Takeout), West should Pass. I would expect Advancer (North) to bid either 3C or 2S. At this point West could consider a defensive heart bid. One possible result of any defensive bid would be to push NS into a makeable game they would not have bid on their own & give them a better score than if West had simply Passed.

Conclusion: Looks like best case scenario for EW on this hand might very well be for NS to play the hand in a part score contract.

Defensive bids, especially those that fall into the sacrifice category, are a dangerous practice for inexperienced players. When (highly) experienced players make a defensive bid, they know what they are doing. When inexperienced players make a defensive bid, they generally do not understand all the ramifications of doing so & are simply rolling the dice (Ho Chunk bridge), because they have seen experienced players make those bids & think maybe it is something they should do. A dangerous practice, as I said.

Ain't bridge a great game?


No comments:

Post a Comment