Thursday, January 18, 2024

Weekly Hand Analysis - Mark Olsky - February 19, 2024 - Michaels Cuebid

 

Question: East's 2D was a Michaels cue bid. How should West respond to the Dbl by South - 2H to support five promised cards for a fit or longest suit (3C)? Also, are 5+ cards ALWAYS promised in the other suits with a Michaels cue bid?

Mark:

I don't know if west understood the 2 D bid, which (correctly in most modern bidding systems) shows both majors. At this vulnerability it usually shows at least 5 in each major, but a very nice 5 card suit and a pretty nice 4 cards in the other is acceptable. 

In long ago bygone days that 2 diamond cue bid used to show great strength with any distribution, too strong for merely a takeout double. If West understands the now standard meaning of 2 diamonds, the clear bid is 2 hearts after South doubles or passes. It says the same thing: "Partner, of your two suits, I prefer hearts over spades. This doesn't necessarily show 3 (or even 2) hearts. W was given a choice of only 2 suits. To bid  3 clubs, W should be very short in both majors and have about 7 nice clubs. Even if both majors are equal, say 2-2, W needs to pick one. 

Now you can see why making the Michaels bid with only 4 cards in one of the majors is risky, especially vulnerable. I love to live dangerously, but that 2 diamond bid is borderline even for me. The 3 club bid by W forced E to retreat to 3 hearts. N-S could have started doubling and it would have been a disaster for E-W. Even down 1, the best case scenario is -200. Now E-W might escape for -100. N-S can make a few clubs even with the foul 5-0 break, so e-W -100 could be above average. It's a hard hand to predict. +90 at 1NT by South is probably the limit as it happens, at least if E advertises good hearts. Any NT contract above 1 by North will be doomed, because E has such an obvious heart lead.

  Here's a possible auction:

N                           E.                          S.                                    W

1C or D.                1H.                    Dbl (4 spades, OK hand).   2 hearts( simple raise, 3+)

 

P (nothing extra).   P (ditto)            3 C if N opened 1C)             P

                                                         P if N opened 1D.)

P                            P


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