Tuesday, November 14, 2023

Weekly Hand Analysis - Mark Olsky - November 20, 2023 - Game


 Question:  

N/S  have a combined 29 hcp but they stopped short of game. How could they have gotten to game?

Mark:

Both partners need to be aware of the number of points required for game, slam or even a relatively safe level of part- score below game. 

  Let's look at what North should do after South responds 1 heart. Ask yourself how many points does the partnership have? South will have a minimum of 5 or 6 points, but could have many, many more. North has a wonderful 17, really 18 or 19 opposite 4 or more hearts. Is it enough for game if South has the absolute minimum? It's close, but slightly against the odds. Give South the slightest extra point or two and game is very high probability. The way to let South know that is for North to bid 3 hearts. South would surely accept and go to 4. Some   players would go straight to 4 hearts, but that's a bit aggressive. In any case, bidding only 2 hearts is a mistake.

  Now, to what should South do after North bids 2 hearts. Ask yourself how many points does the partnership have and how many are needed for game? South has 12 wonderful points, which re- value to 13 or 14 once you learn partner has a heart fit with you. Most players would go straight to 4 hearts after North bids 2. North has promised between 12 and 15 points. This adds up to at least 25 points. If South bids only 3 hearts, inviting game if North has more than a minimum, it's extremely cautious, but it's a clear mistake to pass. 

  Ironically, some aggressive bidders might get to slam. If the hearts break 3-2 (a 67% probability) you can very likely make 6 hearts. N-S are lucky that they beat the score of those who bid slam.

  In summary, both partners made mistakes of undervaluing their hands and failing to add the total points of the partnerships and bidding accordingly. 

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