Monday, August 21, 2023

Weekly Hand Analysis - Vic Johnson - August 28, 2023 - Cue bid

 

Question:  Is North's 3 club cue bid correct?  If so, should South have gone to 4 Hearts?

Vic:

Well, 3C in this case is not just a "simple" (lowest available level) cue bid. It is a "jump" cue bid. I am curious if the "jump" was intentional. If so, I am curious if North had any idea what a jump cue bid means. 

Bridge expert, Larry Cohen, defines a jump cue bid as a  "Mixed Raise" which promises 4-card trump support and more than a preemptive raise, but less than a limit raise. Actually, that is an aggressive, but certainly reasonable, description of the North hand.

 So if a mixed raise is what North meant to show, then Yes their bid was correct. If North had no idea what a jump raise promises, then No it was not correct. And if North had no idea what it meant, then I suspect South had no idea either.

 A less aggressive, but also reasonable, description of the North hand would be that shows preemptive support of hearts in which case the proper bid would be 3H.

 Over a mixed raise, it would be tempting for South to raise to game. Over a preemptive raise, I would expect South to Pass 3H.

 Good defense will hold NS to nine tricks in hearts. 

 Ain't bridge a great game?


Sunday, August 13, 2023

Weekly Hand Analysis - Mark Olsky - August 21, 2023 - What type of arrival?

 

Question: You hear so much about fast arrival and slow arrival. Some people also say when you know, you go.  Looking at this hand and the bidding, is there anything wrong with the fast arrival approach?

Mark:

This isn't technically a case of "fast arrival." Fast arrival is normally a bid where slower, forcing bids are actually stronger than the jump to game. 

In this case, the jump to game is very strong, as it should be. South knows that North may have scraped up a bid on a very minimum hand, maybe sub- minimum as on the actual hand. Even opposite such a meager North hand, game is highly probable and should be bid. 

Most West players would lead a heart to set up 3 tricks for the defense as soon as either partner gets in. Game can't be made in this case without first giving up the diamond ace. Luckily for South, the E-W hearts are 4-4 and the defenders can take only 4 total tricks and 3 NT makes. If W finds a lead of the 8 of diamonds, which looks like "top of nothing" and E finds a shift to hearts, (which is not automatic. Clubs look like a more attractive switch) Still, the double dummy "analysis" will say that 2NT is the limit while nearly everyone will make at least 9 tricks. Those who fail to bid game will get a poor board. 

One reason nearly everyone will be in game is that many, probably most, South players will open a strong 2 clubs looking at 22 HCP, a nice 5 card suit and a 10 of spades "bonus" card. I would have opened 2 clubs, so I don't have to hold my breath praying that my partner doesn't pass me in 1 club, as many players would do with 4HCP. They will surely pass a 2NT opening, which is why this hand is too good for opening 2NT. There are some experts that would open 1 club and then, the minute partner responds with practically anything, jump to game.

Fast Arrival is a pretty advanced concept, generally outside the scope of these discussions. Fast Arrival  tends to deny interest in slam and is mostly intended to give away as little information as possible to the defenders, as well as avoiding lead- directing and sacrifice bids. In this case, South's bidding shows a hand just shy of a 2 club opening and North is encouraged to keep bidding with more than 9 points or slightly less and extra suit quality.

 In this case, North is likely to be worried that they should have passed the 1 club opening, but that would have led to a probable very bad result. Passing 1 club could have resulted in playing a in a 3-1 trump suit where the defenders have 9 trumps between them. (Not the case on his hand, but you have to consider it possible looking only at the North hand. That's why I agree with North taking a bid with a sub- minimum hand. I would definitely bid 1 diamond, not 1 spade with the North hand. The only way 1 spade works is if South has 4 spades and raises. Most of the time South will have something other than 4 spades and far less than 22 points and the auction will get too high. 

If I were North, I bid 1 diamond. If partner next bids 1 heart (more probable than 1 spade) you pass, happy that you are at a low level and in a better place than 1 club. Better yet, if South does have 4 spades and bids 1 spade, you pass that, alerting partner that you have a very weak hand. You can later raise spades if the opponents come in, but partner has been warned and you are unlikely to get too high.

One more thing about the play of this hand. When South plays 3NT and gets a heart lead, there is a real concern that W may have more than 4 hearts and knowing that the hand would then be down after an attempt to dislodge the ace of diamonds. Cashing the top spades in hope that you can establish the 4th one in dummy is against the odds. Now you go down even though the hearts are 4-4. Even if the spades break, you still need to finesse clubs successfully to come to 9 tricks. The combined probability of success with this line is much less than finding hearts 4-4.


Weekly Hand Analysis - Vic Johnson - August 21, 2023- Going to Game


Question:  How does South determine to go to game after North passes two times and gives a 3 spade bid?

Vic:

South should not even dream of continuing to game in spades.

North (correctly) passed twice, then made a questionable decision to raise to 3S, apparently to tell south they had two spades (pitiful as they are) for a golden fit. That certainly does not sound like encouraging Responder support to me. 

North promised a 6-card spade suit with their 2S rebid. But they do not have six spades. That means NS does not have a golden fit, do they? 

 Lies are part of bridge. But there are good lies & bad lies. And this lie is a bad one. South should Pass 2D which it turns out deserves to go down two (plus 100 for NS).

South does not deserve to take even seven tricks in spades. The fact that NS is vulnerable means EW will earn 100 points for every setting trick. Unless of course EW doubles for penalty in which case the award for a set goes 200 - 500 - 800.

 Rule of Bridge: Freely rebidding a suit promises six. Even new players should take care to not violate this rule.

Ain't bridge a great game? 

Weekly Hand Analysis - Glenna Shannahan - August 21, 2023 - Weak 3 Heart Bid


 Question:  North has a weak 3 heart bid.  With a void in hearts in South's hand and a strong hand, is 3NT a good bid or should N/S start exploring for a slam?

Glenna:

When you have a void in partner's suit, I suggest that you usually pass. South does have a great hand but no hearts so that will not play very well and definitely no slam. You might be lucky enough to make 4, but that is pushing it!


Sunday, August 6, 2023

Weekly Hand Analysis - Vic Johnson - August 14, 2023 - Game


Question:  Should North have brought the N/S team to game in Spades?

Vic:

NO! I hope to kiss a rhino they should not have.

 Many modern day players are not shy about opening the auction in 3rd seat holding less than a standard opening hand point count (enter East). Still, East must have "something". 

 A common partnership agreement is that the 1S overcall by South could be as weak as 8 HCPS. The 2H bid by West (a passed hand initially) also promises "something". 

 Given that North has 8 HCPs in their own hand, it is reasonable for them to imagine that South has a standard opening hand at best. Why on earth would North want to make more than a simple raise in spades?

 My hand analysis program tells me that NS "deserve" to make 4S. But that is true only if declarer plays the spade suit WRONG. Specifically, declarer must play for the Spade Queen to drop doubleton, rather than finesse. A classic example of a hand where "bad bridge" rules. 

 Ain't bridge a great game?

Weekly Hand Analysis - Glenna Shannahan - August 14, 2023 - Third Seat


 Question:  Should West have used the Rule of 15 in the third seat to open?

Glenna

We can open 3 points lighter in 3rd seat than any other seat. W SHOULD OPEN 1 CLUB!!!! 12 points is considered an opener in today's world and should definitely be opened in 2nd or 3rd seat. 

  The Rule of 15, Pearson Points or Casino Count (all the same thing) is for 4th Seat ONLY. It is NOT valid  in any other seat. 

  

Weekly Hand Analysis - Mark Olsky - August 14, 2023 - Redouble










Question:  Was North's use of a Redouble correct?

Mark:

This is an unusual, but very good auction by all players. After the double, N obviously has 4 options:

    a. Raise hearts to 3 or 4, 

    b. pass 

    c. Redouble.

    d. bid a new suit as a game try requesting help in that suit. 

Only highly seasoned regular partnerships would assign a precise meaning to the redouble that both partners would understand to have a precise meaning. If I encounter that redouble from my partner lacking prior discussion of this exact auction, I'd say it shows a little extra beyond a minimum 1 heart response. Maybe it's a 5th heart, maybe a couple of extra points, give or take 9HCP. That's pretty much a good description. There's a bit of overlap between 3 hearts and redouble by north. Some players would bid 3 hearts as a kind of preemptive bid, showing a 5th heart and not a real game invitation and would redouble to show a real game try without a specific help suit. My personal preference is the latter approach, so, after discussing it with my partner (in advance, of course) I would bid 3 hearts rather than redouble with the north hand. There is no commonly agreed standard for this auction. Redouble or 3 hearts is correct, depending on how you think partner will take it. I wouldn't pass and I wouldn't make a new suit game try. If N bids 3 hearts instead of RDBL, you probably buy the hand at 3 hearts. A good question is whether that's good or bad. If E leads a spade against 3 hearts, the contract almost certainly fails by 2 tricks (vulnerable) for the dreaded 200. A diamond lead or anything but a spade probably generates only 100 compared to the 130 that you make at 4 diamonds. For this hand, the redouble is more successful, so who's to say it's not correct?